[ml_ned] CWI Machine Learning seminar: Yuri Gurevich, Monday 30 October, 11:00, L016
W.M.Koolen-Wijkstra at cwi.nl
Thu Oct 26 14:20:07 CEST 2017
It is my pleasure to announce the next CWI Machine Learning seminar:
Speaker: Yuri Gurevich (Microsoft Research)
Title: Impugning Alleged Randomness
Date: Monday 30 October, 11:00
Location: CWI L016
Please find the abstract below.
Hope to see you then.
Impugning Alleged Randomness
According to a 1985 issue of New York Times, "The New Jersey Supreme
Court today caught up with the Essex County Clerk and a Democrat who has
conducted drawings for decades that have given Democrats the top ballot
line in the county 40 times out of 41 times." But the clerk wasn't found
guilty. Here's another case of that sort, from a different part of the
world. In the 1980s the Israeli tax authorities encouraged the public to
request invoices from plumbers, painters, etc. and send the invoices
in; big prices were ruffled off. Surprisingly, a big price went to none
other than the Director of Customs and VAT. The operation collapsed but
the director wasn't punished.
You may be convinced that such lotteries are rigged, but how would you
argue that in the court of law? Yes, the probability of the suspicious
outcome is negligible. However the probability of any particular outcome
is negligible. What can you say? We attempt to furnish you with an argument.
Only most rudimentary probability theory will be presumed.
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